Adam Sarhan says, if your risk is properly managed, the result of any single trade doesn’t really matter in the long run. Success in the market comes from making smart decisions that create a good aggregate result over the course of multiple trades in varying market conditions. Anyone can get lucky every once and a while, and if you judge success by counting lucky trades, that’s called outcome bias. If you manage to cross a busy street blindfolded and don’t get hit by a car, it doesn’t mean it was a good idea. In the market, long-term success comes from patience and discipline.
Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
Avoiding Outcome Bias
Adam Sarhan says, if your risk is properly managed, the result of any single trade doesn’t really matter in the long run. Success in the market comes from making smart decisions that create a good aggregate result over the course of multiple trades in varying market conditions. Anyone can get lucky every once and a while, and if you judge success by counting lucky trades, that’s called outcome bias. If you manage to cross a busy street blindfolded and don’t get hit by a car, it doesn’t mean it was a good idea. In the market, long-term success comes from patience and discipline.
Here are more articles you may like
Avoid the Pitfalls of Earnings Season
John Frost, a student of the A.M.P.D. trading strategy, joins the podcast to talk about
Trusting Your Trading Strategy
Self-guided independent trader Michael Lamothe says you cannot judge success on any one trade. Success
Trade with Freedom and Confidence Using Protective Stops
The A.M.P.D. trading strategy uses protective stops to automatically sell positions when a price falls
Shawn Vincent
Claim Your Free Guide Today
Give us your email and we will give you the tools to change your life.
FREE 7 DAY EMAIL COURSE
Learn about Early Entry Points & much more...
© ChartYourTrade | Contact us: website@chartyourtrade.com
Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
Charts and Data are courtesy of MarketSmith Incorporated. Join MarketSmith here.
Terms of Service