All the major averages sliced below their recent lows which means the day count is reset and we are now looking for Day 1 of a new rally attempt to occur. At this point, the 200 DMA line (i.e. 40 week-moving average) remains support for all the major averages while the 50 DMA line is resistance. If the 200 DMA line is breached, on a closing basis, then odds favor lower prices will follow. The converse is also true. Until either event occurs, we should expect this sideways action (between the 50 & 200 DMA line) to continue. What does all of this mean for investors? Simple, the market remains in a correction which reiterates the importance of adopting a strong defense stance until a new rally is confirmed. Trade accordingly.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010 Market Commentary: Stocks opened lower after the Australian Central Bank raised interest rates for a 5th time by a quarter point to +4.25% and Greece rejected an EU-IMF aid package. The market’s internals remain healthy as this rally enters its 6th week since the March 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD). It […]
Stocks remain strong as investors digested the latest round of weaker than expected economic data. Friday’s jobs report will likely set the stage for the next move in the market. Until then, expect investors to avoid putting on excessive risk as they await the jobs report for a better reading on the economy.