Stock Market Commentary

  • Debt, Debt, & More Debt!

    ByAdam Sarhan

    Market Outlook- Uptrend Under Pressure:

    The last week of June’s strong action suggests the market is back in a confirmed rally. As our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the current rally is under pressure as investors patiently await earnings season. Until then, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

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  • Fed Speaks; World Listens

    ByAdam Sarhan

    Home Prices Edge Higher, FOMC Meeting, & Bernanke Press Conference:

    Before Wednesday’s open, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index (HPI) was released which showed a slight uptick in home prices. The index unexpectedly rose in April, snapping a six-month losing streak. The FHFA house price index rose +0.8% in April, following a decline of -0.4% in March. The Federal Reserve held rates steady which matched expectations and largely reiterated their recent stance on the U.S. economy and inflation.

  • Stocks Erase 2011 Gains; Day Count Reset

    ByAdam Sarhan

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction:

    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their recent lows (i.e. 1294 in the S&P 500) and then their respective 50 DMA lines. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines and then their March 2011 lows.

    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.

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  • Stocks Fall After Nikkei Plunges over 6% As Correction Deepens!

    ByAdam Sarhan

    Monday, March 14, 2011 Stock Market Commentary: Japan’s benchmark Nikkei index plunged over -6% on Monday as the country struggles to contain the effects of Friday’s devastating earthquake. The 28-week rally, which began on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD), ended on Thursday March 10, 2011 when all the major U.S. averages plunged below their respective…