Week Ahead: 10-Week Rally Continues On Wall Street

10-Week Rally Continues On Wall Street

The market ended higher last week as the very strong 10-week rally continues (for now). The market remains strong as sellers remain marginalized and nowhere to be seen. The fact that the market refuses to fall is an encouraging sign and bodes well for the bulls. Stepping back, the internals remain positive, but keep in mind, most technical indicators are in overbought territory. That increases the odds a pullback will occur in the near future. Remember, until a pullback occurs, the bulls remain in clear control. For now, near term support is the 200 day moving average then the 50 day moving average. On the other hand, resistance is 2018’s high. 

Monday-Wednesday’s Action:

On Monday, stocks rallied after President Donald Trump said he would delay placing additional tariffs on China. Separately, oil prices tanked after Trump told OPEC oil prices are too high. In M&A news, Barrick Gold launched a bid to acquire Newmont Mining for a multi-billion dollar all-stock deal. Stocks were quiet on Tuesday as investors digested a slew of data. The big news came when Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell said the Fed sees headwinds and is ready to adopt an easy money stance if conditions worsen.

Separately, consumer sentiment beat estimates which bodes well for the economy. On the earnings front, shares of Home Depot fell after reporting earnings and Macy’s ended slightly higher after the retail giant reported. Stocks were quiet on Wednesday after investors digested the latest round of somewhat disconcerting economic data and U.S. trade representative Mr. Lighthizer said more work needs to be done regarding a US-China trade deal.

Thursday & Friday Action:

Stocks were quiet on Thursday after President Trump left the summit early without agreeing on a deal with North Korea. In other news, the Commerce Department said GDP grew by +2.6% last quarter, which beat the Street’s estimate for +2.2%. Stocks rallied on Friday as investors digested the latest round of mixed economic data. The Institute for Supply Management said U.S. manufacturing activity expanded at its slowest rate since November 2016. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index missed the Street’s forecast last month. Finally, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP Now model also showed an estimate of only +0.3% GDP growth for the first quarter of 2019.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Back In Control

The market has turned around after the Fed reversed its stance and moved back into the easy money camp. Near-term resistance 2018’s high while near-term support is the 50 DMA line and then 2018’s low. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Do you know the most under-valued stocks in the market? Our Members Do. Take a FREE TRIAL – CheapBargainStocks.com

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Week Ahead: Rally Continues On Wall Street

Rally Continues On Wall Street

The market ended higher last week after the bulls continued to send stocks higher. The market shrugged off a spate of weaker-than-expected economic data last week because that means easy money will likely stay for the foreseeable future. In the short-term the market is over bought and due to pullback. The fact that it refuses to decline in a meaningful fashion is a net positive for the market and shows us that the bulls remain in clear control. The next big level of resistance to watch is 2018’s high and the next level of support is the 50 day moving average and then December 2018’s low. Until any damage shows up, the market deserves the bullish benefit of the doubt.  

Monday-Wednesday’s Action:

U.S. stocks were closed on Monday in observance of President’s Day. The market ended slightly higher on Tuesday after President Trump said the March Trade deadline was “flexible.” In other news, shares of Wal-Mart gapped up after the company reported earnings. Gold and silver stocks also caught a nice bid as they broke out to new multi-month highs. On Wednesday, the market ended higher after the Fed minutes were released. The Fed released the minutes from it’s January meeting which is when it did a 180 and reverted back to an “easy” money stance. The Fed is trimming its balance sheet and it is open to ending that process later this year due to “risks” in the global economy. Market participants interpret that to mean more easy money which is bullish for stocks.

Thursday & Friday Action:

Stocks fell on Thursday as investors digested a series of weaker-than-expected economic data. Existing home sales, Durable Goods, Leading Indicators and the Philly Fed Index all came in weaker-than-expected which sent the Dow down 100 points by the close. In other news, shares of Tesla fell over 3% after Consumer Reports said it would not recommend Tesla’s Model 3 because it was not reliable. Stocks were rallied on Friday as investors waited for clarity regarding the U.S.-China trade situation.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Back In Control

The market has turned around after the Fed reversed its stance and moved back into the easy money camp. Near-term resistance 2018’s high while near-term support is the 50 DMA line and then 2018’s low. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Do you know the most under-valued stocks in the market? Our Members Do. Take a FREE TRIAL – CheapBargainStocks.com

Week Ahead: The Bulls Are Getting Stronger

The Bulls Are Getting Stronger:

Stocks ended the week nicely higher as optimism spread regarding the US-China trade deal and investors digested the latest round of earnings data. At this point, the rhetoric from both sides suggests a trade deal will get done and that is a “good” sign for the market. On the economic front, the big miss came from retail sales but that is bullish for stocks because it reduces pressure on the Fed to raise rates anytime soon. Remember, the market loves easy money so any weak data only furthers that cause. So, in some perverse way, we are back in that awkward phase where negative economic data is good for stocks. Technically, it is encouraging to see the Dow and S&P 500 both close above their respective 200 DMA lines which have served as near-term resistance. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 both close near/below their respective 200 DMA lines. For now, the market is getting extended to the upside and due to pullback.  

Monday-Wednesday’s Action:

Stocks were quiet on Monday as investors digested the recent rally below resistance (200 DMA line). On Tuesday, stocks soared after news broke that a tentative border security deal was reached and the government would not shut down on Feb 15. The deal would not completely fund the wall but it would be enough to at least move the needle and get something built. That was considered a big win for Wall Street as it removed a lot of uncertainty regarding the potential impact of another government shutdown and the economic ramifications. On Wednesday, stocks rallied again on optimism that the trade war with China would be resolved.

Thursday & Friday Action:

Stocks ended mixed to mostly lower on Thursday after retail sales plunged in December 2018. The report was released late because of the government shutdown. The Commerce Department said retail sales slid by -1.2% in December which was the largest monthly drop in ten years. Stocks rallied nicely on Friday as optimism spread regarding a U.S.-China trade deal. In other news, energy prices rallied sharply as oil and gasoline prices rallied after a big sell-off a few months ago.

Market Outlook: Bulls Are Back In Control

The market has turned around after the Fed reversed its stance and moved back into the easy money camp. Near-term resistance 2018’s high while near-term support is the 50 DMA line and then 2018’s low. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. Do you know the most under-valued stocks in the market? Our members do? Take a FREE TRIAL – CheapBargainStocks.com

Week Ahead: Stocks Fall After Hitting Resistance

Stock Fall After Hitting Resistance:

Stocks ended the week mixed to mostly lower as the market fell after hitting resistance (200 DMA line). At this point, it is perfectly normal to see the market pullback to digest its recent rally. On a relative basis, the Dow is trading near its 200 DMA line and is outperforming its peers. Meanwhile, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Nasdaq 100, and small-cap Russell 2000 are all below their respective 200 DMA lines. For now, the 200 DMA line is serving as important near-term resistance while the 50 DMA line is near-term support. Furthermore, until either level is taken out, I have to expect this sloppy action to continue. The bulls want to see the market get – and stay – above its 200 DMA while the bears want to see it break below its 50 DMA. If it breaks above its 200, the next important level of resistance to watch will be 2018’s high. Conversely, if it breaks below its 50 DMA line, then the next important level of support to watch is December 2018’s low. For now, patience is king as we are still digesting earnings and the latest round of economic data. 

Monday-Wednesday’s Action:

Stocks edged higher on Monday as investors waited for another busy week of earnings to be released. After the close, Alphabet, Gilead Sciences, Seagate Technology, and Beazer Homes were some of the companies to report earnings. In other news, Senators Charles Schumer and Bernie Sanders are proposing a law that would put limit the amount of shares a corporation could buy back at a given time. On Tuesday, the market rallied as investors digested the latest round of earnings data and waited for President Trump’s State of the Union address. On Wednesday stocks pulled back as the major indices flirted with near term resistance near the 200 DMA line. Disney, Snap, and Plantronics were some of the stocks that rallied after reporting earnings. 

Thursday & Friday Action:

On Thursday, stocks fell hard after the major indices slammed into resistance (200 DMA line) on Wednesday. At one point, the Dow fell over 300 points after President Trump said he will not meet with Chinese President Xi before the trade deadline. In other news, BB&T bought SunTrust in the country’s largest bank deal since the 2008 financial crisis. Stocks slid on Friday as investors digested the recent volatility.

Market Outlook: Watch Resistance

The market has turned around after the Fed reversed its stance and moved back into the easy money camp. Near-term resistance is the 200 DMA line for the major indices and then 2018’s high. Separately, near-term support is the 50 DMA line and then 2018’s low. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape.

FLS Setups Review: Stocks Climb Ahead for a Fourth Straight Week

Hi, I’m Andy! I’m a freelance writer and restaurant manager, and I have also been following ChartYourTrade.com since the day it launched. This post is a review of the performance of the 10 Elite Stock Setups that Adam sent to his Advanced Stock Reports subscribers on Saturday, January 12, 2019. Each setup comes complete with annotated charts highlighting the advanced entry point and support level(s), as well as all of the necessary fundamental information.

One of the reasons that I struggled to find success in the market was that I always tried to take on more than I could reasonably handle. I used to commit myself to researching dozens and dozens of stocks and tracking their daily movements, but I would always burn out after a few months and fail to keep up the pace that I set for myself.

It wasn’t until I found Adam’s weekend newsletter that I was able to see the power of a strategy that leaves room for life to get in the way. And life definitely got in the way for me this week, as I didn’t have time to check on the market even once during the week.

Thanks to Adam’s insight and my calm Saturday mornings, I am able to get myself completely caught up and refocused over the weekend. And with seven of the ten stocks from last weekend’s newsletter breaking through their entry points, I can see that the market is starting to command some more attention.

The General Market

In order to properly evaluate what each of our ten elite stock setups did this week, we need to look at them with the context of the general market fresh in our minds.

After a slow start on Monday, the market came to life on Tuesday as it crossed above its 50-day moving average line. It then continued higher throughout the rest of the week, finishing well above the 50-day moving average but still below its declining 200-day moving average.

We have seen a very strong move up from the low that was put in during the week of Christmas, but the market still has some work to do in order to convince us that the bear market is officially over. Regardless of where we are heading, a pullback is certainly in order to give this market a chance to catch its breath.

Juniper Networks – Triggered

With its 50-day moving average holding above its 200-day moving average, JNPR was already in a better position than most stocks coming into the week. After struggling on Monday, the stock retook that 50-day line on Tuesday. It then found support there on Wednesday and Thursday before moving higher on Friday.

That Friday move was strong enough to push the stock above Adam’s entry point, but it was not able to hold above that number. It did hold above its 50-day line though, and JNPR looks to be a very strong stock moving forward.

Citrix Systems, Inc. – Did Not Trigger

We have seen a ton of stocks lately that are demonstrating strength without quite getting to the entry points that Adam identifies for them. CTXS was one of those stocks this week.

The stock gave up its 50-day and 200-day moving averages on Monday, but it was able to quickly recover and shoot back above those lines on Tuesday. It then continued higher on Thursday and Friday and closed near the top of its range for the week.

Walt Disney Co. – Did Not Trigger

DIS started out the week with a down day, just like we saw from most of our elite stock setups this week. However, this stock was unable to respond with a bounce-back day on Tuesday. It actually lost most ground that day, and then stumbled again on Wednesday.

Rally attempts on Thursday and Friday were not successful enough for DIS to close above its 50-day moving average line, which was a major disappointment considering how strong the stock had looked coming into the week.

McDonalds Corp. – Triggered

MCD started off the week just like DIS with three straight down days that saw it falling below its 50-day moving average line. But the big difference is that this stock was able to post strong recovery days on Thursday and Friday where it retook that 50-day moving average and closed right at Adam’s entry point.

American Tower Corp. – Triggered

AMT was having none of the negativity of the general market on Monday. It was one of the few stocks that bucked the trend and posted a positive day. Then, building on that strength, it continued to move higher throughout the rest of the week.

During its run of five straight positive days this week, AMT was able to pull its 50-day moving average higher while breaking through Adam’s entry point on Tuesday and then continuing higher from there.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. – Triggered

There are stocks that trigger Adam’s entry points with dominant strength like we saw from AMT, and then there are stocks that struggle with those key numbers. PYPL was one of the latter stocks this week as it bounced above and below Adam’s entry point.

After starting the week with a bit of a slump to match the general market, PYPL jumped higher on Tuesday and triggered Adam’s entry point. It then fell back below that entry point on Wednesday and stayed there on Thursday before attempting to retake the entry point line on Friday and ultimately closing just short of it.

Shopify, Inc. – Triggered

SHOP was yet another stock that stumbled out of the gate on Monday and then posted a big up day on Tuesday. After bouncing off of its 200-day moving average during Monday’s trading, SHOP was able to break through Adam’s entry point during Tuesday’s move.

The stock showed even more strength later in the week as it climbed again on Wednesday, paused briefly on Thursday, and then moved even higher on Friday.

T-Mobile US, Inc. – Did Not Trigger

With four straight losing sessions to start the week, TMUS was one of the weakest stocks on our list this week. After fighting to hold its 50-day moving average through the early part of the week, it fell below that line during Thursday’s trading.

The stock was able to recover with a positive day that took it back above its 50-day moving average on Friday, but it still closed in the bottom half of that day’s range.

Xilinx, Inc. – Triggered

The leading stocks that make it onto Adam’s FLS Newsletter each week tend to move a bit more dramatically than the general market, but XLNX was not one of those this week. It recorded five days of tight trading that saw the stock push higher through his entry point by the end of the week.

After moving lower with the overall market on Monday, the stock moved higher on Tuesday and briefly broke through Adam’s entry point. It then fell back a bit on Wednesday before recovering and moving higher again on Thursday and Friday.

Nike Inc. – Triggered

I would never trade based on my personal shopping preferences, but I was very excited to see that NKE was going to be on our list of Elite Stock Setups heading into the week where their newest shoes would be hitting the court in the NBA.

The market obviously likes those new laceless sneakers as much as I do, because the stock posted huge gains on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday that took it well above Adam’s entry point. It also looks like we could be seeing the stock’s 50-day line cross above its 200-day line if NKE continues to show strength in the coming weeks.

This was another strong week for the general market, and the Elite Stock Setups that Adam identified for us showed a tremendous amount of strength. If you would like to see which stocks made the list for us to track in the coming week, make sure you subscribe to his Find Leading Stocks newsletter where he maps out his entire playbook for making money in the market.

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