Stocks and a slew of other risk assets were quiet as investors waited for earnings season to officially begin. Investors are hopeful that 2012 will be a better year for U.S. equities and risk assets than 2011 or 2010. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. It was also encouraging to see the S&P 500 break above its downward trendline and its longer term 200 DMA line (shown above). Looking forward, the next area of resistance remains Q4’s highs (1292) and then 2011 highs near 1370. In addition, the bulls remain in control as long as the benchmark S&P 500 trades above its 200 DMA line.
European Leaders Meet & Earnings Season Begins!
Stocks were relatively quiet on Monday as EU leaders met to discuss their debt problems and Alcoa officially kicked off Q4 earnings season. In Europe, French President Sarkozy and Germany’s PM Merkel met and said they want to complete their negotiations on a new treaty in the coming days so it could be signed by March 1, 2012. Meanwhile, Germany sold 3.9 billion euros ($4.9 billion) in six-month T-Bills with a negative yield for the first time in modern history. Later this week, Italy and Spain will try to raise money by selling bonds, hopefully it will not be a total bust. After the bell, Alcoa kicked off earnings season when they released their Q4 results. As always, it is very important to focus on how stocks react to earnings and not just the earnings.
Market Outlook- New Rally Confirmed
Risk assets (stocks, FX, and commodities) have been acting better since the latter half of December. Now that the major U.S. averages scored a proper follow-through day the path of least resistance is higher. Looking forward, one can err on the long side as long as the benchmark S&P 500 remains above support. Leadership is beginning to improve which is another healthy sign. Now that the 200 DMA line was taken out it will be important to see how long the market can stay above this important level. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
Host Of The #SmartMoneyCircle Podcast, Founder and CEO of 50 Park Investments. Adam provides weekly market updates to ChartYourTrade.com readers. He is a FORBES Contributor and is a frequent guest on all the major financial media outlets.
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Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
Quiet Start To 1st Full Trading Week of 2012
Monday, January 09, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:
Stocks and a slew of other risk assets were quiet as investors waited for earnings season to officially begin. Investors are hopeful that 2012 will be a better year for U.S. equities and risk assets than 2011 or 2010. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. It was also encouraging to see the S&P 500 break above its downward trendline and its longer term 200 DMA line (shown above). Looking forward, the next area of resistance remains Q4’s highs (1292) and then 2011 highs near 1370. In addition, the bulls remain in control as long as the benchmark S&P 500 trades above its 200 DMA line.
European Leaders Meet & Earnings Season Begins!
Stocks were relatively quiet on Monday as EU leaders met to discuss their debt problems and Alcoa officially kicked off Q4 earnings season. In Europe, French President Sarkozy and Germany’s PM Merkel met and said they want to complete their negotiations on a new treaty in the coming days so it could be signed by March 1, 2012. Meanwhile, Germany sold 3.9 billion euros ($4.9 billion) in six-month T-Bills with a negative yield for the first time in modern history. Later this week, Italy and Spain will try to raise money by selling bonds, hopefully it will not be a total bust. After the bell, Alcoa kicked off earnings season when they released their Q4 results. As always, it is very important to focus on how stocks react to earnings and not just the earnings.
Market Outlook- New Rally Confirmed
Risk assets (stocks, FX, and commodities) have been acting better since the latter half of December. Now that the major U.S. averages scored a proper follow-through day the path of least resistance is higher. Looking forward, one can err on the long side as long as the benchmark S&P 500 remains above support. Leadership is beginning to improve which is another healthy sign. Now that the 200 DMA line was taken out it will be important to see how long the market can stay above this important level. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!
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Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
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