Stocks and a host of commodities rebounded after a sharply three day sell off. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly. From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.
Q1 Results & FOMC Minutes:
Before Wednesday’s open, a slew of high profile companies (DELL, DE, TGT, among others) released their Q1 results which largely topped analyst estimates. At 2pm EST, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), released the minutes of their latest meeting which largely reiterated their recent stance that the economy is improving while inflation pressures are largely short-term in nature. According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, there is some truth to the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away. On average, the Dow Jone Industrial Average has rallied +7.4% during the period of November 1 through April 30 since 1950 (post WWII). The data also shows that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has only risen by +0.4% between May 1 and October 31. Further analysis of the data shows that the worst six-month periods in the market’s post WWII history have occurred between May-November (2010, 2008, 2002, and 2001, to name a few).
Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
Host Of The #SmartMoneyCircle Podcast, Founder and CEO of 50 Park Investments. Adam provides weekly market updates to ChartYourTrade.com readers. He is a FORBES Contributor and is a frequent guest on all the major financial media outlets.
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Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
Stocks React To Earnings & FOMC Minutes
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:
Stocks and a host of commodities rebounded after a sharply three day sell off. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly. From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.
Q1 Results & FOMC Minutes:
Before Wednesday’s open, a slew of high profile companies (DELL, DE, TGT, among others) released their Q1 results which largely topped analyst estimates. At 2pm EST, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), released the minutes of their latest meeting which largely reiterated their recent stance that the economy is improving while inflation pressures are largely short-term in nature. According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, there is some truth to the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away. On average, the Dow Jone Industrial Average has rallied +7.4% during the period of November 1 through April 30 since 1950 (post WWII). The data also shows that the Dow Jones Industrial Average has only risen by +0.4% between May 1 and October 31. Further analysis of the data shows that the worst six-month periods in the market’s post WWII history have occurred between May-November (2010, 2008, 2002, and 2001, to name a few).
Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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Disclaimer: All communication from ChartYourTrade is general in nature and for educational and general informational purposes only. Under no circumstance should it be considered personalized investment advice. All our work is general in nature and not specific to any one person. All the information on this site and/or that originates from us, or any of our partners or affiliates, is for educational and informational purposes only and is NOT a recommendation to buy or sell anything. To avoid any conflicts of interest, we do not have a working relationship with any of the companies mentioned in our work. Furthermore, we may have a long, short, or no position in any, or all, of the names that appear in our work and they may change at any time without notice. Investing and trading in capital markets or using margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before you decide to invest or trade in capital markets you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, among other factors. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some, all, or more of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with capital markets, investing/trading, and seek specific investment advice from an independent financial advisor and other professionals. Remember all the information we provide is for educational and general informational purposes only and is subject to change without notice.
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